On the evening of February 18, 聽2016, a taxicab driver in Anchorage, Alaska, dropped off a 26-year-old Alaska National Guardsman named Nephi Soper at the Prospect Heights trailhead a few miles from downtown. Soper, who did not own a car and walked or biked everywhere he went, planned to hike overnight to a training session the next day, covering roughly 20 miles of rugged, sometimes avalanche-prone terrain in the Chugach Front Range. When he failed to show up by the following evening, members of his unit .听
Soon the Alaska State Troopers, who oversee most search and rescue operations in the state, launched a search for Soper, who was trained as a combat medic and had spent ample time hiking in the area. Six days later, after scouring the mountainous terrain from the ground and air, they suspended their search, having found no sign of him.
The search was one of thousands of missing-person cases investigated each year by search and rescue (SAR) teams around the country. Despite a wide range of environments and conditions in which these operations occur, most follow a similar protocol. To understand exactly how they work, we called a pair of field experts: Paul Anderson, a retired 42-year veteran of the National Park Service who spent 11 years as superintendent of ; and Dave Prouty, the president of the in Oregon.
1. The Call Comes In
Nearly every backcountry search begins with a 911 call, either from the missing person or a family member, friend, employer, or wary observer who, for example, wonders why the same truck has been parked empty at the trailhead for so long. The 911 operator will try to determine the correct jurisdiction then pass along the information to the applicable agency鈥攊n the Lower 48, that usually means a county sheriff鈥檚 department, since they oversee SAR operations鈥攖o begin the investigation.
2. The Investigation Begins
Just because someone is reported missing doesn鈥檛 mean the report is valid. To verify claims and gather information, searchers will create what they call a lost-person profile by calling family members and friends, visiting known addresses, and confirming the point where the person was last seen. 鈥淲e have to have a starting point before we can launch a search,鈥 Prouty says.
Depending on the urgency of a case, as the investigation unfolds it is common for a separate team to conduct a hasty search in the area, especially if the missing person is a child or impaired (like someone with dementia, for example).
The initial investigation can take up to two or three hours, and will continue even after a search has been launched. Anderson remembers a case in Yosemite when a hiker was reported missing many years ago. Park officials searched for three days before discovering聽that the missing man was actually on the East Coast with his girlfriend. 鈥淗is wife wasn鈥檛 happy about that,鈥 Anderson says.
In another case, Anderson says searchers in Arizona pinged a missing climber鈥檚 cell phone and determined that he was likely 60 miles south of where their search was focused.听(As long as the battery isn鈥檛 dead, phones can be pinged even when they鈥檙e turned off to find out which cell towers the signal passes through.)聽Four climbers found him hanging on a cliff, by killer bees.
Investigators seek intricate details, right down to the color of the missing person鈥檚 water bottle or what kind of shoes the person was wearing.听The most useful clues are often foot tracks left in dirt or snow. They鈥檒l find out the brand, model, and size of the shoe, then they鈥檒l look up the shoes on the Internet to get the dimensions and a tread pattern. Finally, they will share that information鈥攊ncluding a photo鈥攚ith searchers via group text message.
3. The Search Launches
The incident command system (ICS) is the formal structure governing any mission, but SAR team members also refer to it as 鈥渋nvestigate, contain, search,鈥 in that order. They use statistical probabilities from a lost-person-behavior database to develop likely scenarios based on what authorities call the “point last seen”聽and the missing person鈥檚 category, which ranges from hunters to skiers to people who are depressed. Each scenario gets its own search plan and team of volunteers.
Containment is crucial鈥斺渙ne of the most important components,鈥 Anderson says, 鈥渁nd one of the most often overlooked.鈥 There could be as few as one or two containment points鈥攕pots where a searcher is stationed to intercept the subject鈥攐r as many as 15 or 20. Search areas are broken into segments related to the terrain: a ridge, for instance, might separate one segment from another. 鈥淧eople typically take the course of least resistance,鈥 Prouty says. 鈥淭he terrain leads them in certain directions.鈥 Searchers cover the obvious places first鈥攔unning up trails, checking shelters鈥攖hen scour the less-likely hideouts, like a creek bed away from the trail.
国产吃瓜黑料 resources including dogs, human trackers, and helicopters may be called in during the first聽12-to-24 hours, but their participation depends on availability and weather. Helicopters are more effective on cloudy days than on sunny days, Anderson says, because shadows can obscure targets on the ground. But if it鈥檚 stormy, the choppers can鈥檛 launch.
4. Plans Are Updated, Resources Refreshed
As the search progresses, new volunteers replace tired ones and plans are updated. 鈥淥ur stats show 85 percent of all lost people are found within the first 12 hours, and 97 percent are found within the first 24 hours,鈥 Anderson says. If someone falls in that聽three聽percent and remains missing after a day authorities begin to worry.听鈥淭here鈥檚 a reason why they weren鈥檛 found within that first 24 hours, and it probably means they鈥檙e going to be extremely difficult to find.鈥
The resources allotted to a search often increase as the mission goes on. 鈥淚n the first 12 hours, you might have ten or 15 people searching,鈥 Anderson says. 鈥淚n the second 12 hours, you鈥檒l probably have 20 to 30 people. And, depending on resources and weather, the second 24 hours you may have 30 to 100 searchers.鈥
5. The Subject Is Found or the Search Gets Suspended
A search will continue for as long as the subject might be alive and conditions allow. At NPS, Anderson says his teams would usually search for seven-to-14 days. Alaska State Troopers go for three-to-ten days, he says, but locals聽might keep looking for months. To determine the duration of a specific search, SAR teams pull survivability statistics (how many people die after one day, two days, etc., in similar terrain and conditions) and consult with experts in wilderness medicine.
鈥淭here are exceptions to our statistics,鈥 Anderson says. 鈥淎s we tell people, it鈥檚 great to use percentage probabilities to help make decisions, but don鈥檛 ever forget that the person you鈥檙e looking for today is not a part of that table yet.鈥
Suspending a search is 鈥渙ne of the most gut-wrenching experiences you could ever go through,鈥 Anderson says. Typically that job falls to the incident commander, who will consult with the subject鈥檚 loved ones before calling off the mission. 鈥淚t鈥檚 not done in a dictatorial fashion, it鈥檚 a discussion with the family,鈥 Prouty says. 鈥淎nd the family sees the amount of effort that goes into these things. They鈥檙e on scene and they watch hundreds of people come and go and sacrifice time with their families to be out there. So when this difficult decision has to come, most families are very gracious.鈥
鈥淚f it were up to the volunteers,鈥 Prouty says, 鈥淚 don鈥檛 think we鈥檇 ever call off the search.鈥