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Powder Turn
As the climate warms, Colorado may see fewer days of Ultralight Powder Snow in the years to come, and more of the heavy, moist stuff. (Photo: stockstudioX/iStock)

Climate Change Is Coming for Your Powder Stash

As the temperatures warm, heavier snow is likely to become the new normal

Published: 
Powder Turn
(Photo: stockstudioX/iStock)

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In the 1950s, while skiing down the powder-covered slopes of the Yampa Valley in northwestern Colorado, local rancher Joe McElroy made an observation about the snow: it was so light and fluffy that it tickled his nose like champagne. The observation was so apt that decades later, Steamboat Ski Resort would the name 鈥渃hampagne powder鈥 to describe its unusually dry, soft snow.聽

Many other Colorado ski resorts boast similarly light, fluffy snow, thanks to the state鈥檚 especially cold winter temperatures at high elevations. The snow attracts aficionados from across the country, who prefer skimming effortlessly atop powder over the dense, wet snowpack known to blanket parts of the Sierra Nevada聽in winter, which 聽jokingly deride as Sierra Cement.聽

As the climate warms, Colorado may see fewer days of this light powder聽and more of the heavy, moist stuff, according to , a professor of snow hydrology who directs the Center for Water, Earth Science, and Technology at the University of Colorado, Boulder.聽鈥淥ne of the first signals that I think we鈥檒l see related to climate change in Colorado is an increase in snowfall density,鈥澛燤olotch聽says. 鈥淎s it gets warmer, that snow will be less fluffy and heavier.鈥澛

The reason lies in how snowflakes form, thousands of feet above the ground.聽Each snowflake begins when water vapor in clouds condenses around particulates鈥攍ike pollen or dust鈥攃reating ice crystals, which begin to grow outward. Because of the聽unique features of water vapor movement at icy temperatures, vapor will condense only onto聽the very tips of the crystals, forming six聽arms, each splitting into many branches鈥攗ltimately, a snowflake. True to the clich茅, each one is indeed unique.

For the quintessential, picture-book snowflake to form, the temperature聽must be between minus 8 and 15 degrees Fahrenheit,聽with a relatively high level of moisture in the air.聽Different shapes arise聽at temperatures slightly warmer than 15 degrees聽but still below freezing: columns, prisms, and needles that don鈥檛 look anything like traditional snowflakes. 鈥淚f one were to cast judgment on the beauty of snowflakes, these would not win the beauty contest,鈥 Molotch says.

When the air is warmer, the movement of water vapor inside clouds will slow down.聽Instead of condensing onto the outermost tips of ice crystals, water vapor will build all around it, rendering its nascent six-sided structure indistinguishable. Ultimately, this creates thick blobs that often collide with water droplets and other flakes in the air聽and reach the ground as dense, heavy snow. , a snow scientist at New Jersey鈥檚 Rutgers University, calls it 鈥減acking snow,鈥 which is great for crushing into snowballs and snowmen but makes for a more arduous skiing experience.聽

No studies have attempted to document an increase in snow density over time, Molotch says. Gathering that data聽isn鈥檛 something scientists can easily determine from satellites or airplanes and would therefore require a lot of work on a large scale. But based on well-understood physical principles about how snow forms under different temperatures in the atmosphere, it鈥檚 likely that Colorado skiers may gradually see less light powder聽as the climate warms鈥攁lthough, Molotch adds, the state鈥檚 snow still has a way to go until it becomes as heavy as snow in the Sierra.聽

a spokesperson for Steamboat Ski Resort, says they haven鈥檛 yet noticed a change in the snow there. Steamboat has always seen heavier, wetter snow early in the season. But a little of that is a ; it helps to build a better base for skiing. And even if there were a change, 鈥渄ifferent water content in snow doesn鈥檛 seem to deter anyone from enjoying snow sports,鈥 Duke says.聽

While some effects of climate change鈥攍ike increasingly powerful hurricanes and wildfires鈥攁ppear abrupt and sudden, some effects will be nuanced and harder to track. Perhaps the late McElroy, the rancher who first coined the term 鈥渃hampagne powder,鈥 would notice a difference if he saw the snow at Steamboat today. But without the data, Molotch says, there鈥檚 no way to tell.聽

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