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Tadej Pog膷ar at the Tour de France
(Photo: Auld / Velo)

The Tour de France Is Not Over Yet. Pogacar Still Has a Three-Week Puzzle to Solve.

Pogacar and UAE Emirates ruled the Galibier, but third-week individual strength will determine the true king of Le Tour

Published:  Updated: 
from Velo
Tadej Pog膷ar at the Tour de France
(Photo: Auld / Velo)

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and UAE Emirates ruled the Galibier but they鈥檙e not the kings of the just yet.

For yellow jersey Pogacar and his great nemesis , the three-week Tour de France has only just begun.

鈥淓veryone did five-star work today and we can do that again,鈥 UAE Emirates director Joxean Fern谩ndez Matxin told after he orchestrated the team鈥檚 Alpine assault Tuesday.

鈥淲hether the Tour has already been decided? No, of course not. That鈥檚 only in Nice,鈥 Matxin said. 鈥淎nd it will be a very long time before we get there.鈥

UAE Emirates obliterated everyone on the hulking Hors Categorie Galibier with on Tuesday鈥檚 fourth stage.

Visma-Lease a Bike melted away from Vingegaard, was on the ropes, and even the most dogged version of struggled to hold on.

Yet Pogacar鈥檚 45- and 50- second classification advantage over Evenepoel and Vingegaard respectively means nothing in a race that will be decided in the Pyr茅n茅es and Alps of week three.

鈥淲e came here believing we鈥檇 lose time in three of the first four stages, so to lose time on just one is pretty good in my opinion,鈥 Vingegaard said after he was distanced on the fast downhill to the line Tuesday.

鈥淲e thought we might lose two minutes or more, so only 50 seconds behind is quite good,鈥 Vingegaard said.

鈥淥ur time will come.鈥

What Trajectories Will the Big 4 Follow?

Tour de France stage 4
UAE Emirates ganged up on everybody Tuesday on the Galibier. (Photo: Dario Belingheri/Getty Images)

There鈥檚 no doubt 鈥淪lovenian Slayer鈥 Pogacar looks well on track for his historic quest for the Giro d鈥橧talia-Tour de France double.

Imperious Pogcar is the puppet master of an armada of elite climbers.

UAE Emirates is with three riders in the top-10 with Juan Ayuso and Jo茫o Almeida behind Pogacar in third and eighth. 2023 Tour podium finisher Adam Yates isn鈥檛 much further behind.

By contrast, Visma-Lease a Bike is a shadow of Jumbo-Visma and is , Dylan Van Baarle, and Steven Kruijswijk.

Yet a largely benign second week will afford Pogacar鈥檚 Basque-battered, training-lite rivals the breathing space to ride themselves into the race, right on time for when mano-a-mano mountain battles will be just as decisive as collective team muscle.

鈥淚鈥檓 slowly getting better, I鈥檓 still here,鈥 Roglic insisted Tuesday after he was pressured on the Galibier.

The stage 7 time trial on Friday is the only true GC appointment before the mountains arrive en masse with stage 14 next weekend.

For Vingegaard, Roglic and Evenepoel, any creases in condition could be ironed out in time for when the race returns to the high peaks 鈥 although of course, there鈥檚 always the risk things get worse.

鈥淚t鈥檚 always a good thing when you finish second behind the best rider in the world,鈥 Evenepoel said Tuesday. 鈥淚t was a very good day for us. There was nothing to criticize.

鈥淚 feel like I鈥檓 getting better,鈥 Evenepoel said after he led the chase behind Pogacar. 鈥淣ow I鈥檓 already focusing on Friday鈥檚 time trial.鈥

Meanwhile for Pogacar, the great unknown of post-Giro d鈥橧talia fatigue shadows every passing stage.

Visma Vows to Keep swinging: “We Believe in our Plan”

Vingegaard took confidence from being close to Pogacar on the climbs. (Photo: Bernard Papon 鈥 Pool/Getty Images)

In true Pogacar fashion, he started his grand tour in sixth gear and came away rewarded.

Yet he鈥檚 done similar at the Tour twice before, only to be blown away by one disaster day in the back-half of the race.

Sure, the Visma-Lease a Bike of 2024 is not the Jumbo-Visma that tore Pogacar apart in 2022 and 2023 with blitz offenses from Kuss, Roglic, and Wout van Aert.

But the 鈥淜iller Bees鈥 are promising it still has sting.

鈥淚 was doubting myself going into this Tour but it鈥檚 not like he was a lot stronger uphill,鈥 Vingegaard said after the stage Tuesday. 鈥淚 would have liked to close the gap instead of it opening. I would have liked to stay with him but that鈥檚 life.

鈥淭he Tour is long and we鈥檒l do our best,鈥 said the defending champion. 鈥淲e know what to do. We believe in our plan, like in the last two years and we鈥檒l see at the end of the Tour.鈥

Vingegaard will need to brush away any descending demons left from his Basque crash to ensure 鈥淭he Bees鈥 have venom ahead of the mountain-packed crescendo of the Tour.

Re-measuring After the “Race of Truth”

Remco Evenepoel
Eveneopoel stands to gain time back in the 25km time trial on Friday. (Photo: MARCO BERTORELLO/AFP via Getty Images)

The stage 7 time trial Friday will be a crucial measuring stick for who wears the maillot jaune聽in Nice later this month.

It鈥檚 not called 鈥渢he race of truth鈥 for nothing. There鈥檚 no better marker of physiological prowess and the ability to suffer than a lonely 25km against the clock.

Vingegaard hasn鈥檛 been able to train on the TT bike during his long comeback from injury like he would have wanted, but his history against Pogacar in grand tour time trials is telling.

Time trial world champion Evenepoel, who鈥檚 after four days of racing, could slash his 45-second deficit to Pogacar in half on Friday鈥檚 ~30 minute individual test.

鈥淚 think it鈥檚 not really decided who is where [on GC],鈥 Pogacar said Tuesday after he donned his second yellow jersey of the 2024 Tour.

鈥淔or sure, you see the level a little bit,鈥 he said. 鈥淏ut in three weeks some days can be better for some riders, and other days can be better for others.鈥

How the GC looks Friday will be the best barometer of the favorites we鈥檒l get until the race hits the Pyr茅n茅es more than a week from now.

鈥淢aybe someone wasn鈥檛 feeling great or super good today,鈥 Pogacar said. 鈥淚n three weeks, things can change a lot.鈥

It might have looked like Pogacar buried the Tour de France on Tuesday. But in reality, the race is only just getting started.

 

Lead Photo: Auld / Velo

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